| Data is from the May 2004 Enrollment Projections Report prepared by Dejong & Associates | ||||||||||||
| Actual | Projection | Change from Prev. Period | Total Change | |||||||||
| 2001-02 | 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | ||||
| Bowsher | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 2,113 | 2,051 | 2,054 | 2,054 | 2,081 | -62 | 3 | 0 | 27 | -32 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 1,169 | 1,178 | 1,104 | 1,101 | 1,078 | 9 | -74 | -3 | -26 | -94 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 1,407 | 1,341 | 1,365 | 1,292 | 1,279 | -66 | 24 | -73 | -86 | -201 | ||
| Total | 4,689 | 4,570 | 4,523 | 4,447 | 4,438 | -119 | -47 | -76 | -85 | -327 | ||
| Libbey | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 2,365 | 2,144 | 1,647 | 1,618 | 1,636 | -221 | -497 | -29 | -11 | -758 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 1,082 | 967 | 800 | 587 | 550 | -115 | -167 | -213 | -250 | -745 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 1,172 | 1,021 | 887 | 731 | 550 | -151 | -134 | -156 | -337 | -778 | ||
| Total | 4,619 | 4,132 | 3,334 | 2,936 | 2,736 | -487 | -798 | -398 | -598 | -2,281 | ||
| Rogers | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 1,830 | 1,602 | 1,519 | 1,530 | 1,549 | -228 | -83 | 11 | 30 | -270 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 986 | 984 | 802 | 706 | 700 | -2 | -182 | -96 | -102 | -382 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 1,140 | 1,159 | 1,135 | 966 | 852 | 19 | -24 | -169 | -283 | -457 | ||
| Total | 3,956 | 3,745 | 3,456 | 3,202 | 3,101 | -211 | -289 | -254 | -355 | -1,109 | ||
| Scott | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 3,034 | 2,565 | 2,439 | 2,456 | 2,486 | -469 | -126 | 17 | 47 | -531 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 1,219 | 1,034 | 807 | 764 | 751 | -185 | -227 | -43 | -56 | -511 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 1,374 | 1,421 | 1,121 | 883 | 826 | 47 | -300 | -238 | -295 | -786 | ||
| Total | 5,627 | 5,020 | 4,367 | 4,103 | 4,063 | -607 | -653 | -264 | -304 | -1,828 | ||
| Start | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 3,177 | 2,955 | 2,887 | 2,862 | 2,899 | -222 | -68 | -25 | 12 | -303 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 1,633 | 1,586 | 1,390 | 1,386 | 1,332 | -47 | -196 | -4 | -58 | -305 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 1,782 | 1,796 | 1,629 | 1,461 | 1,455 | 14 | -167 | -168 | -174 | -495 | ||
| Total | 6,592 | 6,337 | 5,906 | 5,709 | 5,686 | -255 | -431 | -197 | -220 | -1,103 | ||
| Waite | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 3,031 | 2,848 | 2,926 | 2,948 | 2,983 | -183 | 78 | 22 | 57 | -26 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 1,293 | 1,200 | 1,179 | 1,175 | 1,157 | -93 | -21 | -4 | -22 | -140 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 1,342 | 1,388 | 1,226 | 1,152 | 1,177 | 46 | -162 | -74 | -49 | -239 | ||
| Total | 5,666 | 5,436 | 5,331 | 5,275 | 5,317 | -230 | -105 | -56 | -14 | -405 | ||
| Woodward | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 2,705 | 2,424 | 2,246 | 2,280 | 2,309 | -281 | -178 | 34 | 63 | -362 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 1,216 | 996 | 886 | 797 | 800 | -220 | -110 | -89 | -86 | -505 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 1,355 | 1,194 | 979 | 859 | 789 | -161 | -215 | -120 | -190 | -686 | ||
| Total | 5,276 | 4,614 | 4,111 | 3,936 | 3,898 | -662 | -503 | -175 | -213 | -1,553 | ||
| Learning Centers | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 135 | 71 | 118 | 120 | 121 | -64 | 47 | 2 | 3 | -12 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 92 | 75 | 65 | 58 | 58 | -17 | -10 | -7 | -7 | -41 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 184 | 186 | 131 | 112 | 112 | 2 | -55 | -19 | -19 | -91 | ||
| Total | 411 | 332 | 314 | 290 | 291 | -79 | -18 | -24 | -23 | -144 | ||
| Pre-K - 5 | 18,390 | 16,660 | 15,836 | 15,868 | 16,064 | -1,730 | -824 | 32 | 228 | -2,294 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 8,690 | 8,020 | 7,033 | 6,574 | 6,426 | -670 | -987 | -459 | -607 | -2,723 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 9,756 | 9,506 | 8,473 | 7,456 | 7,040 | -250 | -1,033 | -1,017 | -1,433 | -3,733 | ||
| Grand Total | 36,836 | 34,186 | 31,342 | 29,898 | 29,530 | -2,650 | -2,844 | -1,444 | -1,812 | -8,750 | ||
| Schools needed based upon projected enrollment | ||||||||||||
| Assumes school sizes per A | Assumes school sizes per B | |||||||||||
| 2001-02 | 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | 2001-02 | 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | |||
| Pre-K - 5 | 30.650 | 27.767 | 26.393 | 26.447 | 26.773 | 40.867 | 37.022 | 35.191 | 35.262 | 35.698 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 8.690 | 8.020 | 7.033 | 6.574 | 6.426 | 11.587 | 10.693 | 9.377 | 8.765 | 8.568 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 4.878 | 4.753 | 4.237 | 3.728 | 3.520 | 6.504 | 6.337 | 5.649 | 4.971 | 4.693 | ||
| Total | 44.218 | 40.540 | 37.663 | 36.749 | 36.719 | 58.957 | 54.053 | 50.217 | 48.998 | 48.959 | ||
| Based upon 42 Elementary, 13 Middle and 7 High schools | ||||||||||||
| Excess or Surplus of buildings based upon actual and projected enrollment. | ||||||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 11.350 | 14.233 | 15.607 | 15.553 | 15.227 | 1.133 | 4.978 | 6.809 | 6.738 | 6.302 | ||
| 6 - 8 | 4.310 | 4.980 | 5.967 | 6.426 | 6.574 | 1.413 | 2.307 | 3.623 | 4.235 | 4.432 | ||
| 9 - 12 | 2.122 | 2.247 | 2.764 | 3.272 | 3.480 | 0.496 | 0.663 | 1.351 | 2.029 | 2.307 | ||
| Change in number of Buildings needed to house projected student Enrollment | ||||||||||||
| Assumes school sizes per A | Assumes school sizes per B | |||||||||||
| 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | Total | 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | Total | |||
| Pre-K - 5 | -2.883 | -1.373 | 0.053 | 0.380 | -3.823 | -3.844 | -1.83111 | 0.506667 | -5.169 | |||
| 6 - 8 | -0.670 | -0.987 | -0.459 | -0.607 | -2.723 | -0.893 | -1.316 | -0.80933 | -3.019 | |||
| 9 - 12 | -0.125 | -0.517 | -0.509 | -0.717 | -1.867 | -0.167 | -0.68867 | -0.95533 | -1.811 | |||
| Total | -3.678 | -2.877 | -0.914 | -0.944 | -8.413 | -4.904 | -3.836 | -1.258 | -9.998 | |||
| Assumes school sizes per A | Assumes school sizes per B | |||||||||||
| Accumulated Total | 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | ||||
| Pre-K - 5 | -2.883 | -4.257 | -4.203 | -3.877 | -3.844 | -5.676 | -5.169 | |||||
| 6 - 8 | -0.670 | -1.657 | -2.116 | -2.264 | -0.893 | -2.209 | -3.019 | |||||
| 9 - 12 | -0.125 | -0.642 | -1.150 | -1.358 | -0.167 | -0.855 | -1.811 | |||||
| Total | -3.678 | -6.555 | -7.469 | -7.499 | -4.904 | -8.740 | -9.998 | |||||
| (A) Based upon Master Facilities Plan guidelines (page 4) maximum school sizes are: | ||||||||||||
| Elementary | 600 | or less | ||||||||||
| Middle | 1,000 | or less | ||||||||||
| High School | 2,000 | or less | ||||||||||
| (B) Assuming the following school sizes | ||||||||||||
| Elementary | 450 | or less | ||||||||||
| Middle | 750 | or less | ||||||||||
| High School | 1,500 | or less | ||||||||||
| Number of Buildings by type in Master Facilities Plan | ||||||||||||
| Number of Buildings | ||||||||||||
| Elementary | 42 | |||||||||||
| Middle Schools | 13 | |||||||||||
| High Schools | 7 | |||||||||||
| Learning Center | 1 | |||||||||||
| Total | 63 | |||||||||||
| Average attendance in each period based upon Master Facilities Plan school needs | ||||||||||||
| Actual | Projection | # of Buildings | ||||||||||
| 2001-02 | 2003-04 | 2007-08 | 2010-11 | 2013-14 | ||||||||
| Pre-K - 5 | 438 | 397 | 377 | 378 | 382 | 42 | ||||||
| 6 - 8 | 668 | 617 | 541 | 506 | 494 | 13 | ||||||
| 9 - 12 | 1,394 | 1,358 | 1,210 | 1,065 | 1,006 | 7 | ||||||